Health Care Reform at the Close of the 20th Century
The New England Journal of Medicine, June 17, 1999, Vol.340, No 24

Reading this article causes one to ponder many issues and consider possible solutions. The future of our healthcare system is certainly an issue which will effect our well being in the next century. Some of the problems sited are the large and growing number of uninsured Americans, the high overall costs of our health care system, pervasive evidence of suboptimal quality of care. Current political debate does not address the persistent problems of access to care and its quality and cost.

Why have recent discussions of health policy been so limited in scope? What conditions will be required to reawaken public interest in comprehensive health care reform? If the public is not engaged in the nations unresolved health care problems, the elected representatives will not have the political well to address them. The voting public, especially low and middle income Americans, must come to the conclusion the the current health care situations is so intolerable that government intervention cannot make it worse.

Currently 43 million persons are uninsured. That is approximately 20% (16% among employed). It is estimated that the proportion would have to exceed 25 to 30% to trigger changes in current policy and political reality. What could cause this? A catastrophic event such as the depression of the 1930s, another world war, a disease pandemic dwarfing the AIDS epidemic, sudden collapse or the managed care industry, return to the galloping inflation of the 1970s and 1980s. These would all be very high prices to pay.

There is no unequivocally correct solution to this dilemma. In the short term effort to improve the equity, efficiency, and quality of our health care system must focus on incremental improvements in our current system. Child health is a very good place to start.

For more information, contact Urban Health Care Action Network at www.uhcan.org or Metro NY Health Care for All metrohealth@igc.org

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